January 2010 Kauai
Real
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All Rights Reserved.


Aloha Gang!
 
Weather news:  The weather on Kauai has been very dry this winter.  Sorry to my wet California friends.  What can I say except "send some our way".  So no rain which means we're having a lovely winter season but unfortunately all my plants and flowers are wilting.  We need some rain or I'm going to have to go out and do my rain dance and you know what happened last time I did that:  I almost burned down the house because I goofed and danced to the Goddess of Fire instead of the Rain Goddess.. uh..duh!  Most mornings here are clear and warm and then in the afternoon the clouds start to gather over the mountains.  But alas, no rain just some clouds and a little vog floating down from Big Island .  Gorgeous dry weather right now on Kauai and good time to come visit if you're on the mainland or other parts.  The Hotel occupancy has been slow but I'm told that it will be picking up in February.  By the way, I tried the new restaurant in the Hotel this week called the Kauai Grill.  Amazing food and service. And the remodel...Wow!  It will knock you out.  Big recommendation from me.  Also, even though they don't have any vegetarian fare if you ask the waiter they will whip something up very nice for you.  
 
What other news do I have... hmmm?   Honestly, life in paradise can be pretty dull sometimes.  Epecially if you're a realtor in a bad economy here.  I certainly don't think the networks would want to do a reality show on my life right now.  If they did it would be something like this.. See AnnMarie go to work, see AnnMarie skip lunch and keep working, see AnnMarie come home take out her computer and work, see AnnMarie eat fast Costco Indian food TV dinner, watch a Netflix and collapse, see AnnMarie get up and go back to work, See AnnMarie sit at an open house all day with no one coming in...See AnnMarie lose another deal due to financing, See AnnMarie.., etc., etc, yawn..boring..
 
One exciting piece of news I do have for you is that we just found out last week that Pirates of the Caribbean with Johnny Depp is going to be filmed here this summer!  Yippeeee!  What fun!  I'm working on my designer eye patch right now.. I'm sure that will charm Mr. Depp into buying some expensive beachfront property from me.. eh?  Maybe not.. in fact he'll probably run the other direction.  Note to self, scratch eyepatch idea.
 
Interesting news on the Kauai Real Estate front:  The Sales Volume for December was up dramatically from November, from $19M to $29M and that's after factoring out the 3 huge $10M+ crazy sales we had over those two months by various movie stars, muckety mucks etc.  But even though we had a big jump in December we have been all over the map with Sales Volume numbers this last 6 months with July $25M, August $21M, Sep $21M, Oct $29M, Nov $19M, and Dec $29M.   Geez, is this a real estate market or Magic Mountain?  Remember, I told you a while back "Hang on, it's going to be a bumpy ride", and it has been.  Vacant land volume was down slightly over the entire island from $1,890,000 to $1,066,000, condos stayed steady at $5M, and house volume numbers were up big time from $11M to $22M over the entire island.  North Shore home volume was up big time from $1.5M to $7M.  North Shore condo sales volume was in complete reverse, and going backwards, and no vacant land sold at all in December on the north shore.  East side volume numbers were up all over, as well as the Koloa/Poipu area numbers.  Even sleepy Waimea had a little bump in volume for December.
 
December Unit Sales were also up considerably from 48 to 59 units sold in December.  House unit sales over the entire island jumped from 23 to 38, vacant land was down to 4 from 7, condos units stayed steady at 15.  North shore home sales were up from 2 to 9, vacant land a goose egg, and only 2 condos sold on the north shore down from 6 selling in November.  Koloa/Poipu unit sales were up across the board, and East side unit sales were up as well.
 
Median home prices for December were up in all categories:  $520K for houses, up from $442K in November.  Vacant land median price was $283K up from $185K, condos were $313K up from $277K.   Koloa/Poipu home prices stayed very steady at $582K Dec and $592K November.  North shore home prices were up $980K from $743K in November.  Condo prices appeared steady with $324K in Nov and $309K in December.  
 
Our end of year Median Price numbers showed a 23% decline over the last year in home prices, a 40% decline in condo prices, and a 41% decline in vacant land prices.  North shore home prices showed a 20% decline, vacant land a 23% decline, and condos a 38% decline.  Poipu condo prices showed a 1% increase in prices, but a big 35% decrease in home prices.  
 
Our end of year numbers for Sales Volume shows that we are turning the corner on the bad real estate market for houses:.  We were only down 4% from 2008 in residential volume, but not so fast on vacant land and condos, down a huge 71% on vacant land, and 41% on condos for the year end.
 
Our end of year totals showed and 8% decline in Unit Sales from 2008 to 2009.  Vacant land showed a 42% decline in unit sales, and condos showed a 5% decline.  Koloa/Poipu showed a 26% increase in unit home sales, a 54% decline in vacant land, and 15% decline in condos.  North shore home unit sales showed a 9% decline over 2008, a 45% decline in vacant land, and 26% decline in condos.  Interestingly, Lihue showed a 63% increase in condo sales from 33 to 54 in 2009... who would have thunk that?
 
If we look at the mid year numbers (June 09) we were much deeper in the recession hole back then:  For homes we were down 30% from the year prior for number of sales in June 09, compared to 6 months later (Dec 09) we were down only 8% so we climbed out of the hole to the tune of a positive 22% the last 6 months of the year.  In June 09 we were down 27% for homes sales Volume, in December only 4%, and down 27% for median prices in June but had climbed up just a few points to 23%.  Median Prices have been staying fairly steady for last 6 months, while the other indicators, volume and units sales are starting to improve quite nicely.  
 
To summarize the above numbers for you I would say that we are turning the corner on the stinky residential market.  My advice is that the window for getting a crazy cheap deal on a home on Kauai is NOT going to remain open forever.  It looks like the bottom has passed on that segment and may be starting to climb up the other side.  The condo and vacant land market is another story.  That segment is still in the deep deep doodoo and could hang out there a little while longer.  So if you've been thinking of buying property on Kauai and were waiting for the prices to drop - News Flash! They have!  So get moving!   Another word of advice is that many sellers will come down off their asking prices if you just ask them nicely.  Contact me if I can help you find your own little quaint beach shack, or sprawling mansion, or whatever....
Gotta run now and get  back to work...See ya later, gaters!
 
Warmest Aloha, Your Island Realtor, AnnMarie Hamilton, BIC, Princeville Real Estate at the beautiful St. Regis Hotel
 
  Move up, move down, move sideways; it just doesn't matter. Whichever direction you move, financially, you may still qualify for the new tax credit available to current homeowners. It is unfortunate that the credit has too often been characterized as a credit for "move-up" homeowners. The phrase carries the implication that the new home must cost more than the sale price of the former one. Indeed, even the November 6 White House Press Release said that the credit would be available to qualified homeowners who "wish to step up to a new home." Same implication.
 
Mortgage Rates
U.S. averages as of December 24, 2009:

30 yr. fixed:   5.05%
15 yr. fixed:   4.45%
1 yr. adj:        4.38%

 So, it is worth emphasizing that the credit is equally available to homeowners who are moving down, cost-wise.
 The move-down homebuyer is not an unusual phenomenon. For years retirees
Wondering What Your Home Is Worth?

Let me show you.


     Sure you can lose weight, get in shape, launch a business or find a new job. But haven't you also procrastinated long enough about buying a home?
 How long has it been since you upgraded your home with a new roof, spiffed up landscaping or pulled some other home improvement?
 And that post-World War II ranch home of yours could certainly use a few energy efficient do-overs.
 Look to low mortgage interest rates, bargain home prices and other favorable market conditions to give you the resolve to consider home sweet home in your list of must-dos next year.
� Join the nearly 18 percent of Americans who say they've resolved to become a first-time homebuyer in 2010, according to a new Move.com survey. That's both a smart move and a timely one. Mortgage rates are at record lows, prices are down and the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit has been extended until April 30, 2010. It's also been expanded to include a $6,500 tax credit
     It can be one of the hardest things to do -- save money for your first home. But now, more than ever, there's incentive to buy. Government housing tax credits have been extended and that's sparking buyers' interest.
 Reports show that U.S. homes sales increased 10 percent in October to the highest level since February 2007. The tax credit, less expensive homes, and lower mortgage rates are being credited. However, while the government is helping to support the purchasing of a home, many Americans still can't afford to buy one.
 "Most Americans are spoiled. Most Americans spend a lot of money on discretionary items," says Eric Tyson, co-author of Home Buying for Dummies, 4th Edition. "What it really comes down to is you have to be motivated to look at where are you currently spending money and what discretionary spending can you cut off," says Tyson.
 So how do you get in a position to buy a home? For some the process can seem nearly impossible. First-time homebuyers are often fearful they'll never be able to accumulate a down payment now that stricter guidelines are being enforced for taking out home loans.
 Tyson says to look over your finances and see where things can be cut
 
     A new federal law beginning April 2010 will require all contractors performing renovation, repair and painting projects that disturb lead-based paint in private homes, childcare facilities, and schools (built prior to 1978) to be certified in the prevention of lead contamination.
 According to the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) document titled What You Need to Know About Lead Poisoning, "Despite laws established in the 1970s to make people aware of the dangers of lead and its poisonous effects, lead poisoning in children remains a common, yet

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AnnMarie Hamilton
E-mail: annmarie@surfkauairealestate.com
Website: www.surfkauairealestate.com
808-652-3511
Princeville Realty
808-248-2410
5-3541 Kuhio Hwy, Princeville HI 96722
P.O. Box 223040, Princeville HI 96722


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